2024 F1 Constructors Standings Predictions

Photo from Red Bull Racing

Normal, smart people, post their predictions after testing is complete.

F1 testing is far from the end all be all of how the season is going to go, but it does give you at least a little bit of information regarding relative pace and reliability.

But the past few years, I’ve decided to be risky (and stupid) and predict the constructors before testing even begins.

Going in completely blind is fun!

But also has the potential to make me look pretty foolish.

Regardless, let’s dive into the predictions.

10. Haas (Last Season: 10)

Haas has not had success the past few seasons, last year being no different, so there was already not a ton of hope for this year.

Then, out of nowhere, team principal Gunther Steiner was out at Haas, saying in the media he and team owner Gene Haas had different views on how to spend the money to move forward.

This team is a mess right now, and it doesn’t seem any closer to getting out of it.

9. Kick Sauber (Last Season: 9)

Maybe they’ll surprise me, but considering the entire offseason noise was about the team name and nothing about the team itself (a team name that ended up being illegal in Switzerland where they’re based), I don’t think it will be a good season.

8. Williams (Last Season: 7)

What’s not to like about Williams?

Alex Albon is a great driver, and Logan Sargeant had an iffy rookie year but definitely started to show some strengths as the year went on.

Why wouldn’t they get better?

Well, a big reason would be team principal James Vowles giving a press conference where he basically said Williams is going to throw a bunch of stuff out there and “break stuff” trying to figure out what works before the 2026 regulation changes to be as successful as they can in 2026.

I don’t disagree with that method, but it does mean 2024 and 2025 will likely be sacrificed for the greater good.

7. Alpine (Last Season: 6)

Speaking of teams not exactly giving rave previews of 2024, we have Alpine, who have a new team principal this season and have, as driver Pierre Gasly puts it, a “blank piece of paper” to start 2024.

Unless Alpine have absolutely nailed it from the get go, there’s going to be some growing pains.

6. Aston Martin (Last Season: 5)

Aston Martin began last season as maybe the second best team in the sport, and it looked very promising to continue.

But it didn’t.

The car never continued to develop, Lance Stroll completely lost form, and Aston fell to mid table on the grid.

Considering their lack of mid season updates, I’m not sure there’s much else they can do going forward.

5. Visa CashApp Red Bull (Last Season: 8)

God. What a stupid name.

I’m just going to keep calling them Toro Rosso.

Regardless, there were two big things that caught my eye this offseason for Toro Rosso.

The first was the car reveal, which showed a striking similarity to the Red Bull car a year ago that won 22 of 23 races (Toro Rosso is, of course, a Red Bull secondary team).

Now, that does not at all mean the car will be as fast as the Red Bull a year ago, but it can’t hurt, and people know it can’t hurt.

It’s why McLaren boss Zak Brown said Formula 1 needs to do something about dual owned teams in the sport.

If the higher ups are worried about something, they usually have a good reason to be.

4. Mercedes (Last Season: 2)

Lewis Hamilton is a smart guy.

In 2012, he announced he was leaving McLaren to go to Mercedes. Everyone thought it was foolish. Mercedes, after all, had hardly any success and McLaren was just a few reliability issues away from being a championship team.

It was just a few years later we realized just how smart of a move that was, as Mercedes stock continued to rise and McLaren’s continued to plummet.

So, when Hamilton, who previously has said he will never race for another team than Mercedes or another team boss than Toto Wolff, opts out of his 2nd year before the first year even begins and announces he’s going to Ferrari, my eyebrow immediately raised.

He could have opted out at any time this year for 2025, but he did it after a couple meetings at the facility and before testing even began.

He doesn’t have faith in them anymore.

Who am I to doubt him?

3. McLaren (Last Season: 4)

Where Aston Martin started red hot in 2023, McLaren started horrendously in 2023.

But the team and drivers improved significantly as the year went on, fighting all the way back to finish 4th.

Now, with another year under the belts of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri and momentum to build on, we should see McLaren fighting for podiums consistently this season.

2. Ferrari (Last Season: 3)

If Ferrari is smart, they’ve already begun working on the 2026 regulations to hit the ground running then.

But even if they have, the team is still good enough to get 2nd in the standings this year.

1. Red Bull (Last Season: 1)

Red Bull shocked the world yesterday when they revealed their new car, and it looked very different than the 2023 car that won almost every race last year.

It was confusing.

Why change something so dominant?

But Adrian Newey, the chief engineer of Red Bull racing, is the best in the sport.

He knows they could have made minor adjustments to the 2023 car and still won the constructors championship.

Changing the car radically is not only surprising, but it’s scary.

It tells me that Newey and Red Bull found a way to be even faster.

Some may see it as a risk.

I see it as a signal to the rest of the grid.

Game over.